The Ukrainian/western methods are brutal. They work.
As the article indicates the Kursk operation did exactly what it was inte did to do, which was shift the narrative from Ukrainian defeat to Russian incompetence, and thus keep the aid flowing and the war going.
It is quite obviously a terrible idea to waste manpower when you're fighting a country with a population 7 times larger. Also you need to come up with an original comment
Some are able to smoke 60 cigarettes a day for decades and die in their 80s seemingly in quite splendid health, I am not suggesting to take up smoking by the way, so how long will the Ukrainians be able to continue is not a given as much as conjecture would have. I have a lazy 100, what odds are you willing to give me that the Russians will clean sweep the war victorious in less than a year.
You can apply this to same logic, or abuse thereof, to any process involving an incremental effect. The difference being that sometimes people do not smoke, and sometimes countries have a population pool 7 times larger.
Aren't the Ukrainians doing these stunts to get aid that will supposedly help them magically fight off the Russians? Like, there's a deeper motivation beyond Zelensky's Thespian vein.
Of course. Without constant infusions of western aid in all forms, Ukraine would immediately collapse. However, the western methods (western cash and support, warm live Ukrainian bodies) works.
But Ukraine is also hoping to leverage Russia with stuff like Kursk and now blowing up oil refineries. So they *do* have actual military objectives beyond just the spectacle. And none of these are being achieved; ergo they're not working.
I dunno, discontent in Russia appears to be growing and Rusdian petroleum exports are reduced. *Byelorus* is no longer a reliable Russian ally. So yeah, their methods are working.
As I said, Kursk did exactly what it was intended to do.
That's not necessarily correct. Russia'a having a harder time now, but it's not going to collapse. Ukraine's stunts cause far more risk to its own stability. They can't get aid or keep the war going if they collapse.
Lukashenko's always been playing everyone off against each other since 1994. The most important priority for him is studying the most sacred text for any Belarusian: "The History and Social Influence of the Potato."
I said nothing about "collapse" but suppose Putin were to die. Imagine the "Game of Thrones" that would result, encouraged and abetted by the Americans and their british buttbois.
That's just one scenario. The longer russia dithers, the more likely this or others occus
Continuing to lose ground, or "keeping the war going" as you say... would be functionally worse for the populace. Money going into a few people's pockets isn't the positive thing you seem to think.
That's where all that money, from the "narrative shift", is going. He clearly doesn't care about much, outside of continuing a FAILING war, yet outwardly pretends things are manageable. Again, to continue the "Narrative shift" towards whatever will pull in EU funds.
There's one more point about Western media: people who not only know reality but also want to report on it don´t get a chance in mass media. Experienced journalists who speak the language have basically either been forced to shut up or report at best half truths. If you want to understand the sorry state of Western media read Shura Burtins latest article in Meduza where he retells how he tried to get Western journalists to finally tell the truth about human rights in Ukraine. It was of course in vain. In Germany, but also in Britain you can only publish in marginal publications if you don´t follow the official line. Worse you might be sanctioned by the EU like Hussein Dogru and Jacques Baud or else threatened with immediate imprisonment if you ever return from Russia to the "continent of human rights". Thomas Röper and Alina Lipp come to mind and I am sure there are many more who have had "minor" inconveniences like sudden debanking a.s.o.
The more your blog is to be appreciated as an invaluable source of what is really going on in Ukraine
What Americans don't get is that this is essentially a civil war. East Pro Russia) versus neo Nazi west. We got involved because …what a great opportunity to weaken Russia. Get THEM involved!
Thanks for your amazing work. I hope you'll write a memoir when this is all over. Dying to know who you know, if you know what I mean.
While I agree with the general mockery of Ukrainian propaganda claims, which is well deserved (much like mockery of American claims in the Iran war!), I have to point out that the pre-war population of a village doesn't really matter. What matters is how many soldiers are there and its position in the overall war. You are fighting an enemy, not a piece of land. It's not like Gettysburg was a metropolis. "lol look at the great battle of Gettysburg lmao Union losers"
Thank you for your work. Let's hope that this kind of reporting isn't necessary at some point.
The Ukrainian/western methods are brutal. They work.
As the article indicates the Kursk operation did exactly what it was inte did to do, which was shift the narrative from Ukrainian defeat to Russian incompetence, and thus keep the aid flowing and the war going.
It is quite obviously a terrible idea to waste manpower when you're fighting a country with a population 7 times larger. Also you need to come up with an original comment
Yet the army is still in tbe field and fighting with no end in sight.
Were the situation different, I would comment differently.
I have smoked for decades and I still feel great. Therefore, the tar buildup in my lungs is meaningless!
Some are able to smoke 60 cigarettes a day for decades and die in their 80s seemingly in quite splendid health, I am not suggesting to take up smoking by the way, so how long will the Ukrainians be able to continue is not a given as much as conjecture would have. I have a lazy 100, what odds are you willing to give me that the Russians will clean sweep the war victorious in less than a year.
I have no idea what the future will be. I am, however, capable of understanding the concept of a "cumulative effect".
So the straw that broke the camels back is the strategy, though which camel is the question?
The same abuse of logic could be applied to the Ukrainian side. Just because Russia hasn't collapsed yet just means it's a matter of time.
You can apply this to same logic, or abuse thereof, to any process involving an incremental effect. The difference being that sometimes people do not smoke, and sometimes countries have a population pool 7 times larger.
You're the one who made the analogy. Now you're trying to change the subject.
Aren't the Ukrainians doing these stunts to get aid that will supposedly help them magically fight off the Russians? Like, there's a deeper motivation beyond Zelensky's Thespian vein.
Of course. Without constant infusions of western aid in all forms, Ukraine would immediately collapse. However, the western methods (western cash and support, warm live Ukrainian bodies) works.
That is all that matters.
But Ukraine is also hoping to leverage Russia with stuff like Kursk and now blowing up oil refineries. So they *do* have actual military objectives beyond just the spectacle. And none of these are being achieved; ergo they're not working.
I dunno, discontent in Russia appears to be growing and Rusdian petroleum exports are reduced. *Byelorus* is no longer a reliable Russian ally. So yeah, their methods are working.
As I said, Kursk did exactly what it was intended to do.
That's not necessarily correct. Russia'a having a harder time now, but it's not going to collapse. Ukraine's stunts cause far more risk to its own stability. They can't get aid or keep the war going if they collapse.
Lukashenko's always been playing everyone off against each other since 1994. The most important priority for him is studying the most sacred text for any Belarusian: "The History and Social Influence of the Potato."
I said nothing about "collapse" but suppose Putin were to die. Imagine the "Game of Thrones" that would result, encouraged and abetted by the Americans and their british buttbois.
That's just one scenario. The longer russia dithers, the more likely this or others occus
Yes
"Shifting narrative", while losing massive swaths of strategically important personnel isn't military sound. It's just good for graft.
Without foreign aid, there is no war, immediately. The lost troops apparently were not so critical to keeping the war going.
Continuing to lose ground, or "keeping the war going" as you say... would be functionally worse for the populace. Money going into a few people's pockets isn't the positive thing you seem to think.
The Ukrainian leadership could not care less about the populace or their well being.
You think a farmer takes opinion polls of his livestock?
That's where all that money, from the "narrative shift", is going. He clearly doesn't care about much, outside of continuing a FAILING war, yet outwardly pretends things are manageable. Again, to continue the "Narrative shift" towards whatever will pull in EU funds.
Every day the war continues and the army keeps fighting is a win, as far as he is concerned.
At this rate, the war could be over as soon as 2356! Cue up the Fitzgerald cliche...
There's one more point about Western media: people who not only know reality but also want to report on it don´t get a chance in mass media. Experienced journalists who speak the language have basically either been forced to shut up or report at best half truths. If you want to understand the sorry state of Western media read Shura Burtins latest article in Meduza where he retells how he tried to get Western journalists to finally tell the truth about human rights in Ukraine. It was of course in vain. In Germany, but also in Britain you can only publish in marginal publications if you don´t follow the official line. Worse you might be sanctioned by the EU like Hussein Dogru and Jacques Baud or else threatened with immediate imprisonment if you ever return from Russia to the "continent of human rights". Thomas Röper and Alina Lipp come to mind and I am sure there are many more who have had "minor" inconveniences like sudden debanking a.s.o.
The more your blog is to be appreciated as an invaluable source of what is really going on in Ukraine
What Americans don't get is that this is essentially a civil war. East Pro Russia) versus neo Nazi west. We got involved because …what a great opportunity to weaken Russia. Get THEM involved!
Thanks for your amazing work. I hope you'll write a memoir when this is all over. Dying to know who you know, if you know what I mean.
While I agree with the general mockery of Ukrainian propaganda claims, which is well deserved (much like mockery of American claims in the Iran war!), I have to point out that the pre-war population of a village doesn't really matter. What matters is how many soldiers are there and its position in the overall war. You are fighting an enemy, not a piece of land. It's not like Gettysburg was a metropolis. "lol look at the great battle of Gettysburg lmao Union losers"
very insightful and well written. thorough research and at times, jolts me out of my apathy.
Legitimately, how long do you foresee Ukraine being able to just throw bodies at this? There can't be a substantial pool to pull from, at this point.